Just a big mess
From unconditional basic income earners benefit most who do not need it. It is set in motion a mindless redistribution machine.
In fact, the simplest argument against an unconditional basic income is already the best - its funding. If you all 80 million people in Germany, a basic income of, say, would be 1,000 euros, made the nearly 1,000 billion € per year. Since children consume less likely to reach 800 billion.
But at least 40 million German need a basic income does not earn enough or because they receive a sufficient pension. This in no way Needy, we would give 480 billion euros a year (40 million times per month € 1000). This is more than half of today's tax revenues. This, in turn, we save perhaps $ 20 billion a year - which is certainly on the high side - the bureaucracy and the invisible costs of examination of need.
The point is: even if one offsets 320 billion of the 800 billion from the current budget for social services and take into account the savings of 20 billion euros, 460 billion euros to remain that must be applied by all in addition. We would have to increase taxes by 50 percent to even the wealthy part of the population with incomes equip that this does not need.
Well you could raise the income tax for high income, so that part of the population that actually lives by the basic income, not to be involved in the financing for the part that does not need a basic income. In this case, the basic income produced only an incredibly high tax rate and a huge mess redistribution in the upper half of the income pyramid. At the same time, however, formed a huge tax cut lobby, which had nothing else in mind than to lower taxes again. The predictable argument: Too high taxes would the service providers, the willingness to take even if the Tax revenue is used once again to the service providers.
have led some advocates of precaution, the basic income tax comes into play. "We can still raise the VAT to the extent necessary, without disturbing the performance incentives. Stupid is also only the arithmetic. In order to raise 460 billion to be paid to those who do not really need, an increase in the VAT rate by nearly 70 points to about 90 percent. Consequently, the prices of all goods covered by the tax would almost double. This has not only an escape in the black economy to the episode, but also ensures that income in an unprecedented manner from bottom to top umverteilt werden. Jetzt zahlen ja diejenigen, die wirklich bedürftig sind, kräftig mit an diejenigen, die das Grundeinkommen nicht brauchen.
Noch absurder wird es, wenn die Unternehmer das garantierte Grundeinkommen nutzen, um die normalen Löhne entsprechend zu kürzen. Dann sinken die Realeinkommen aller Arbeitnehmer drastisch und auch ihre Nachfrage nach Konsumgütern. Da nach der Erfahrung der vergangenen Jahre niemand erwarten kann, dass Beschäftigungsgewinne den Reallohnverlust ausgleichen, wird die Konjunktur einbrechen, die Arbeitslosigkeit steigen und die Unternehmen zwingen, die Preise trotz der immensen Mehrwertsteuerbelastung zu senken. Dann sind die Gewinne wieder futsch, die sie zunächst eingesteckt haben. Only abroad, the German economy will succeed even more than it already has, because exports are indeed exempt from VAT. This will take our trading partners but as an opportunity to make their borders to subsidized goods such tight or even to conduct similar experiments in the insane deflationary way.
Heiner Flassbeck
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